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Domain Preset
🗳️ Political Forecasts
Elections, policy, national security & statecraft
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Manual factor entry
Forecast Question
News Window:
14 days
7d
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90d
Outside View (Base Rate)
🤖 Auto
App detects reference class & fetches data
✏️ My Reference Class
You name the class, app finds the rate
📊 Full Manual
You provide both class and base rate %
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⚡ Live Calculation
> Awaiting forecast...
> Enter a question and press Run Forecast.
> Each step of the Tetlock calculation
> will stream here in real-time.
Probability
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